Oscar predicting becomes a science

Who? Nate Silver, the prodigy of prognostication whose FiveThirtyEight website called the 2008 elections with uncanny precision, has turned his algorithms on tonight's Academy Awards broadcast.
What?His methodology weighs many factors, including genre (drama outperforms comedy), opening-weekend box office (not too important) and whether the film earned any other awards (a considerable plus).
When?Monday, 02.23.09
Where?Could this be the year that predicting the Oscars goes from sheer guesswork to statistical science?
Why?The Dark Knight has swept the early awards
How?Everyone in this category plays some kind of mental case: Josh Brolin as murderous San Francisco city supervisor Dan White (Milk)
http://www.miamiherald.com/entertainment/top-story/story/913368.html

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